PRICE ANALYSIS: XRP starts to rise, will the rest of the market follow?

News • 2020/10/06 • by
pereira

Bitcoin / US Dollar

Price Analysis

BTC price has not moved in a specific direction during the day, adding to the stability line, created during the last two weeks. This stability period is adding more compression and more power in the market, which will possibly lead to a new boom in the next period. As we have described many times in previous articles during the last month, the next goal for Bitcoin is to reach the $11,000 resistance level and break it.

If the price couldn't make to reach the above point, the bears will possibly take up the market and lead the price to lower levels. This scenario will be activated if the price dropped below $10,300 during the next days, leading to more liquidations from fearing investors. In the two scenarios, an important role is laid at the $10,500 point which will work as a resistance or a support level, depending on the activated situation.

We should highlight that the moving averages had crossed again in a two-days period, forming a reverse "Golden Cross", a bearish signal that should be taken into account at this moment for two major reasons. The first reason is that the consequential signals between moving averages are often misleading and don't lead in a certain direction in the upcoming days. The second reason is that the moving averages signals should be taken into account when there is enough volatility in the market to expect a "turn" in it. The stability season is leading to counter-initiative actions regarding the massive entering or positioning in the market.

In the short-term diagram, we can observe that the second compression in the market has been between $10,500 and $10,800, which indicates that a minor breakout will lead to a new bullish period during the next days. If there is an uptrend in the market, a "Golden Cross" will appear in the market, limiting down the previous signal from the 50-day and 200-day moving averages.

Indicators

MACD index has been steadily on the positive side, creating a small bullish momentum in the market that will be transmitted through the positions. The RSI index has been stabilized around value = 50, indicating that any move will direct the market towards any position that might affect the short-term future for the coin.

Ethereum / US Dollar

Price Analysis

The price has not moved in unpredictable ways as it didn't surpass the $350 descending support line, meaning that there is a major possibility for the cryptocurrency to break the line during the next days and pass on the bullish mode, along with the rest of the market. This trending line was predicting that the price will stabilize towards a declining equilibrium during the months included. Overcoming the trending line, the next stop for the price will be around $400, which was the major point for the previous bullish market. We believe that the next bullish market will start from $400 in order to close the uptrend cycle (recovering all the profits) and reach new highs above the previous one (around $480).

The $400 point was crucial for the Ethereum market as many moving averages crosses happened towards the current point. In the opposite scenario, the price will probably reach $320 in no time and there are hopes for more support levels during the descending line.

The moving averages have not crossed yet, creating a waiting period for many investors that want a more clear sign to enter the market and establish their positions in a certain direction.

Indicators

MACD index is still above the zero lines, indicating that the positive momentum in the market is slightly significant at this moment, with little effect on the price formation. On the other hand, the RSI index remained between values 45 and 50, indicating a stability period over the next days.

Ripple / US Dollar

Price Analysis

The only exception in the crypto market is Ripple, which made a breakthrough in the stable market and jumped a little around $0.25. This could be the first point for Ripple's bullish run as the market might spark the other markets to follow on and jump in new levels. The bullish situation must be supported by the corresponding trading volume, which is not visible in this period.

The continuation of the bullish period will be confirmed if the price reaches quickly the $0.26 point and build towards a more sustainable trending line. Given that the cryptocurrency is the first crypto that starts to rise, support from the rest of the market to establish its position. A "Golden Cross" was formed in the chart, creating bullish feelings in the market and possibly sparking the uptrend in the previous days.

A counter-action in the market trend (if the rest of the market doesn't follow) will lead to a price drop around $0.22, giving the opportunity to the market to hold back and gain more power for a future rise.

Indicators

MACD index is showing that the momentum is rising during the last days, increasing the possibilities for a general uptrend in the specific market. The positive signs are coming also from the RSI index, where the value jumped above value = 55, indicating the continuation of the bullish trend for the upcoming days.

Litecoin / US Dollar

Price Analysis

No severe actions took place in the Litecoin market as the price remained on the $46 point, just above the $45 support/resistance level, which lays as the upper line for the long-term support zone. The price was not affected by Ripple's rise and this could be a useful insight that we should take a closer look during the next days.

If the major altcoins in the market like Litecoin and Bitcoin Cash got affected by a major move in the Ripple market (which is not considered a power player in the crypto space), then in similar positions, we would be more conscious and ready to react. In this case, we should be bullish towards these coins and expect them to rise in similar positions and yields with Ripple.

The moving averages have not crossed yet and we believe that there is a severe possibility to happen over the next days, creating positive momentum in the market and possibly a bullish trend over that.

Indicators

MACD index keeps on rising during the last week, indicating that a positive move is on the road for Litecoin and we would see soon a positive breakout during the next days. The RSI index remains around value = 45, indicating stability during the next days but we believe in higher levels to be spotted in the near future.

Bitcoin Cash / US Dollar

Price Analysis

Like Litecoin, Bitcoin Cash remained on the same spot, around $220, creating a stable outlook for the cryptocurrency. The long-term support zone is holding around the $220 point, where it is the lower line of the support zone. This means that a break in this line would lead to consequential problems for the coin.

As we mentioned in the Litecoin section, we would like to see if the two coins will follow the Ripple rise during the next days. If this happens, we will document it as a possible outcome for the next cases. Above that, a "Golden Cross" appeared in the market, creating positive vibes and a potential uptrend like the Ripple's one. This could be an early signal for the upcoming trend and the follow up for the Ripple market.

Indicators

MACD index is still on the positive side, with no significant changes in the momentum trend. This is coming in contrast with the RSI index, where the values lay between 40 and 45, which is rather bearish, taking into account that these values predict a negative outcome.

Correlations

Bitcoin / Ethereum = 0.93 ( 0 ), Bitcoin / Ripple = 0.84 (- 0.07), Bitcoin / Litecoin = 0.89 (+ 0.01), Bitcoin / Bitcoin Cash = 0.85 (+ 0.01)

The correlations remained stable during the day, having no severe impact on the route for the majority of the cryptocurrencies. The only exception was Ripple, whose short-term rise was depicted in a different way, as the correlation was lowered regarding Bitcoin. The differentiation in the market correlations can be viewed as a positive signal for the market as the rise in one market might spark more markets to overcome the stability period and pass in the bullish mode again. The next period will determine if the prices will continue to rise and create a positive environment for the entire crypto market, with significant results in the investing community.

Comments (10)
Guest
paulsmith2018
6 years ago
Probably the rest of the market might not follow as XRP experiences an increase in rising.
ugospecial
6 years ago
BITCOIN PRICE ANALYSIS: Bitcoin has experienced a stable state in the past weeks and due to this, it's power has increased in the market wich could result to a positive outcome soon. BTC price might reach the $11,000 resistance level and break it but if the price fails to reach that point then the bears may lead the price to a lower level, that is if price drops to $10,300 increasing fear among investors. The second compression as shown in the diagram, the market is between $10,500 and $10,800 indicating a minor breakout that will lead to a new bullish period during the next days. ETHEREUM PRICE ANALYSIS: EHT has every tendency to pass on the bullish mode along with the rise of the market during the next days, around $400 was the major point for the previous bullish market and the next bullish market could start from $400 in order to close the uptrend cycle and then reach a new height of $480 above $400. This was crucial for the ETH market but the price could reach $320 in the opposite scenario in no time, there is hope for more support levels during the descending line thus 45 and 50 is indicating a stability period over the next days shown by the RSI on the diagram. RIPPLE PRICE ANALYSIS: Ripple has an exceptional ability in the crypto market, it made a breakthrough in the stable market by jumping a little around $0.25 and this might spark other market to follow suit. If ETH price could reaches $0.26 point quickly and then build towards a more sustainable trending line then a continual bullish period will be confirmed giving that there is a positive sign from the RSI index. LITECOIN PRICE ANALYSIS: Litecoin remains on the $46 point just above the $45 support/resistance level and it's price was not affected by Ripple rise thus could be a useful insight taking a closer look during the next days. Litecoin is believed to have a severe possibility to cross the moving averages over the next few days creating a positive momentum/possible bullish trend over time in the market. BITCOIN CASH PRICE ANALYSIS: BCH is creating a stable outlook for the crypto market as it remain on same sport around $220, it is on a lower line of the support zero thus a break in this line could lead to a consequential problem. If BCH could follow the Ripple rise, then a possible out come will be documented for the next days. Though BCH has no significant changes in it's momentum trend but the MACD index is still on the positive side.
godgrace1
6 years ago
We can see from this market analysis that bitcoin has not moved in any specific direction during the day, The moving average had crossed again in a two days period, forming reverse golden cross, which sets of alarm for bitcoin to be heading in the bearish direction. we can see that from the indicator that bitcoin is bearish for now, and from the market indicators we can see that ethereum, litecoin and bitcoin cash are bearish whille ripple is bullish and it will not cross its resistance level from my analysis.
whenayon
6 years ago
BTC price has been moving in a slow and steady position over a couple of days And it has not be moving in a specific direction. I think BTC at the moment is consolidating of a breakout, and the consolidation is adding more power to the market. The market should probably hit the $ 11000 resistance. If the price doesn't reach the point of $ 11000, the bears will possibly take up the market and lead the price to lower levels. if the price gose below $ 10300, Investors will panic and might sell off. That might have a negative effect on the market. In this case we should be expecting a bullish run if the market does not fall to $ 10300.
imtiazkhan
6 years ago
The market is in the state of indecisive phase. No clear direction yet but the time is approaching of big candle either green or red. My guess is that it will be red candle in coming few days
freshprinx
6 years ago
BTC/USD Bitcoin is currently trading inside a symmetrical triangle, which suggests that both the bulls and the bears are not clear about the next directional move. The big question is when will the breakout happen and which direction will it take. The BTC/USD pair has reached about three-fourths of the distance from the base of the triangle to the apex. Ideally, a breakout should happen within the next few days and both the bulls and the bears will attempt to dominate proceedings. The flat 20-day exponential moving average ($10,693) and the relative strength index close to the midpoint suggests that it could be anybody’s game. In a triangle, the price moves between the support line and the resistance line. After the bounce off the support line on Oct. 2, the bulls may attempt to push the price above the triangle. If they succeed, the pair could start an up-move with a target objective of $12,460. However, if the breakout fails and the bears sink the price below the support line, then a drop to $9,835 would be on the cards. The next few days are critical as the pair could start a new trending move. ETH/USD Ether (ETH) had turned down from the downtrend line on Oct. 1 but the bears could not capitalize on the weakness and sink the price to the $308.392 support. The long tails on the candlesticks from the start of the month show accumulation by the bulls at lower levels. The bulls will now attempt to push the price above the downtrend line and if they prevail, a move to the 50-day simple moving average ($376) or even $395 is possible. A break above $395 may signal the resumption of the uptrend. However, the bulls are unlikely to have an easy ride as the bears will mount stiff resistance at overhead resistance and the 50-day SMA. If the ETH/USD pair turns down from the downtrend line, the bears will once again try to sink the price to $308.392. A break below this support may start a deeper correction to $240. XRP/USD The failure of the bears to sink XRP below the $0.2295 support on Oct. 2 and 3 attracted aggressive buying from the short-term traders who pushed the price above the 20-day EMA ($0.242) and the downtrend line. The flattish 20-day EMA and the RSI in the positive territory show that the selling pressure has reduced. If the bulls can capitalize on this advantage and push the price above $0.26, the XRP/USD pair could rally to $0.303746. However, the bears are unlikely to give up easily. They are currently attempting to stall the up-move at the 50-day SMA ($0.256). If they can sink the price back below the downtrend line, it will suggest that the current breakout was a bear trap. BCH/USD The bulls purchased the lows on Oct. 2 but they have not been able to sustain the buying at higher levels. This suggests that the bulls are hesitant to buy Bitcoin Cash (BCH) near the stiff resistance of the 20-day EMA ($225) and the downtrend line. If the bulls do not push the price above the downtrend line within the next few days, the bears will again attempt to sink the BCH/USD pair to $210. The downsloping moving averages and the RSI in the negative territory suggest a slight advantage to the bears. However, if the bulls overcome the selling and propel the pair above the downtrend line, a rally to the 50-day SMA ($244) is possible. This level could act as a stiff resistance but once crossed, the pair may rise to $280. LTC/USD Litecoin (LTC) has again reached the 20-day EMA ($46.66) where it is facing stiff resistance from the bears. However, the positive thing is that unlike the previous occasions on Oct. 1 and 2, the altcoin has not witnessed a sell-off. If the LTC/USD pair does not lose ground, the possibility of a move to the downtrend line increases. The bears may try to stall the relief rally at the downtrend line but if the bulls can push the price above it, the pair could move up to $51. The 20-day EMA is flattening out and the RSI has risen above 46, which suggests that the selling pressure has reduced. Contrary to the bullish assumption, if the pair again turns down from the current levels or the downtrend line, the bears will try to sink the price below $41.6298. If they succeed, the pair could drop to the critical support at $39.
exodusab
6 years ago
“Markets do not like uncertainty and this also applies to digital assets, despite the apparent lack of consistent correlation to traditional assets.
omogbai
6 years ago
I felt that there is a need for statistical analysis in the field of cryptocurrencies. There are a lot of predictions out there on the internet, unfortunately theories used in many cases have no statistical evidence.
visiblemoney
6 years ago
It is not a teaser to say that XRP has been making distinctive movement that is unconnected to the rest of the altcoins and BTC in the past few days. It is closely monitored that XRP often make successive climbs above resistant points even when bear was almost imminent. This behavior has not been the same with Bitcoin and Ethereum that has been facing low liquidity and indecision among the investors who are not willing to make decision. BCH also can be said to be behaving like XRP but most times lose it uptrend to bear while MA goes parallel to the signal strength. With all the indications and other factors affecting the markets at the momentum, if XRP goes up Bitcoin, Ethereum and others may form opposite pattern unless a favourable news breaks trend and divert the course of the entire market.
lorettachinasa
6 years ago
With the rise in Ripple, I think it's a good sign that others would follow up. This will happen soonest. So bullish run in the market should be expected

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